Why will Austin Butler take the 2023 Oscar from Brendan Fraser?
The answer is called 'biopic', the Academy's favorite genre.
Five times in the past ten years, actors portraying real people have won the award, set against hard-hitting performances by heavyweights.
Making any predictions about the Oscars, especially in the Best Actor category, before knowing the result of the SAG Awards and the BAFTAs, which are the best indicator to determine who is the candidate with the best chance of winning the statuette is an exercise. of unconsciousness.
But, Austin Butler is going to steal the statuette from Brendan Fraser, both nominated for Best Actor, and, due to proximity in the starting grid, also from Colin Farrell.
It is clear that the Oscar will be among them.
Voting closed on January 17 and the winner is already in an envelope.
Of the 27 nominations that Austin Butler has received so far in the Best Actor category for his role as Elvis in Baz Luhrmann's film of the same name, the only one that has received weight, beyond the People's Choice Awards and the AACTA Award, has been been the Golden Globe.
We have a theory.
This year Butler has no contender in the biopic category.
There are no other actors bringing real people to life on screen this year, even though Brendan Fraser's character in The Whale has real inspiration.
When Rami Malek won the Best Actor Oscar for his performance in Bohemian Rhapsody, his Freddy Mercury was competing with three other biopics: Willem Dafoe, in Van Gogh, at the gates of eternity, Christian Bale, as Dick Cheney in Vice, and Viggo Mortensen. like Frank Vallelonga, in The Green Book, considering that Mahershala Ali had, ahem, been bumped into the Best Supporting Actor category.
This time, there are no more real lives: Austin Butler and his Elvis have no competition in that particular field.
And on top of that, the icon, this time, is American (which doesn't mean anything because there is a long list of award-winning biopics with figures of the noble Albion).
Statistics play in their favor, plain and simple.
In the past decade, four Best Actor Oscars have gone to leading men in biopics: Daniel Day-Lewis, Abraham Lincoln in "Lincoln"; Eddie Redmayne, for his Stephen Hawking in "The Theory of Everything"; Gary Oldman, for his Winston Churchill in "Darkest Hour"; Rami Malek for "Bohemian Rhapsody" and Matthew McConaughey for "Dallas Buyers Club."
Source: Esquire
Information provided by Elvis Shop Argentina (Carlos R. Ares)
https://www.facebook.com/elvis.line.7
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